ChanceScale

Interstellar Probability Engine

Mission brief

Chart reality with a precision engine built for uncertain futures.

ChanceScale synthesizes structured signals, confidence discipline, and calibration diagnostics to deliver a probability readout that feels like flight instrumentation.

Overall accuracy
0%
Directional hit rate
Resolved outcomes
0
Telemetry sample size
0%
Reliability
Calibration index
Engage Mission Console
Multi-vertical
Real-time calibration

Mission Console

Transmit your matchup. Adding event date, league (Esports), or match URL improves accuracy.

1
2

Examples: Sports — "Celtics" vs "Lakers". Esports — "Team Liquid" vs "Fnatic".

Optional. Helps APIs find the right matchup and avoid checking future events too early.

Paste a link to the match page for better result verification.

Historical averages, conservative uncertainty.

ChanceScale Reliability Index™

Measures calibration, confidence discipline, and signal contribution. Higher scores indicate better reliability.

SportsTracking calibration from first resolved events
EsportsTracking calibration from first resolved events

Based on resolved predictions only. Calibration measures how well probabilities match outcomes. Confidence discipline measures avoidance of overconfidence. Signal contribution measures how often we moved meaningfully away from baseline.